The sole purpose of the point spread is to even out the betting so that the bets on the underdog are equal to those on the favorite. The juice or vigorish is what the book makes its money. The book makes a profit if the total amount placed on the underdog matches the total amount placed on the underdog.
Linesmen who are able to feel the opinions of the betting public make the best lines. They set the betting line based on the perceptions of the public about the strength of each team. This does not always reflect the relative strengths of both teams. The perception of the public is often inaccurate in sportsbook betting.
Everything else will fall into place once you grasp this concept. This will give you an advantage over other bettors.
Be objective. Listen to your head and not your heart. You shouldn’t place a bet on the Cowboys because you don’t like them losing. Don’t just bet on your favorite team because you like them. Don’t place your money on your favorite team even if you are a huge fan. It is almost impossible to be objective. If things aren’t going well, fans tend to be optimistic about their favorite team and pessimistic about it.
Be consistent. Each game should have the same wagering amount. Some people bet $200 on games that they believe are safe and $100 on those they don’t. The worst bets are the ones that you’re not sure about. Don’t bet if you aren’t sure about a particular game.
Do you have to bet on the home team? No. But, being objective can give you an advantage. Because the local media provides extensive coverage of your home team, which is not available to the rest of the country, you are likely to know more than the people in other areas.
Look for Trends. Look for trends. Some teams have the number of other teams. The 49ers have covered the Rams 7 out of 8 times in the past four years. Young was injured and they had to play Druckmiller as a rookie. Green Bay has lost four of the five games in Detroit over the past five years.
Trends do not guarantee success. You might lose your bet if the trend doesn’t hold. Remember that the goal is to increase your chances at winning. If you place a bet that the 49ers will cover against the Rams based on past performance, your chances of winning are higher than losing.
You can place your bets later in the week. Waiting until the end of each week will let you know about injuries to key players. This will allow you to place your bets more efficiently. Sometimes players get hurt or worsen an injury during practice. Sometimes, what appeared to be a minor injury Tuesday could end up costing the player his ability to play in the next game. Weather conditions can also affect your bet. Inclement weather can often keep the scoring down.
Limit the number of games you play. It is better to have fewer games than you win. It seems that 3 to 6 games is the optimal number. soi keo The law of averages dictates that winning percentages will decrease if you play more. The law of averages states that the more you play, the higher your chances are of having 50% winners and 50% losers. Because of the juice, it’s a losing season. It’s also easier to focus on a small number of games.
Losing streaks are common. You can always count on losing streaks, no matter what. This happens to professional gamblers, casual wagertors, handicappers, and even books. You must be prepared to endure it. You must use Pro Predictor and a handicapping service throughout the season to be a winner. You will lose the season if you quit at the first sign that there is a losing streak. Imagine dropping out and then having the handicapper go 5-5 the next week. These are five wins that you won’t have and will impact your overall winning percentage.
Never bet against a streak. This is key to increasing your winnings and decreasing your losses. This is your betting mantra. Repeat it until it becomes a habit. You should never bet against streaks. If you are going to place a bet on streaks, make sure the streak continues. It doesn’t matter if the streak is a winning streak, or a losing streak. Ironically, logic will tell us that the odds of a streak lasting longer than one week are doubled. Therefore, you should not bet against it. There is a trap.
Take the following example: In week 10, Green Bay has been covering for 4 consecutive weeks. Is it possible to bet on the streak ending? Keep in mind that the odds of the streak ending each week are double.
Betting against the Streak: $100 bet on Green Bay covering week 11. They fail to cover. You’re $100 ahead. What happens if they cover and the streak goes on? The hole is $110. What should you do? What do you do? If you do, the streak will end and you’ll win $100. You are now only $10 out of the total. If the streak continues, however, you will be $220 in the hole. What should you do? Are you going to take your losses? Or do you continue trying to regain your lost profits? Are you willing to continue trying to recover some of your losses. Are you willing to double your losses in order to make up for it? Don’t do it. Doubling up is a bad idea. This is another way to fall prey to the trap of huge losses.
Betting with the Streak: $100 bet that Green Bay will again cover in week 11. You lose $110 if they don’t cover. This is just like a regular straight wager. What happens if they cover? The streak will continue. The streak is $100 up and you can only lose $10 if you keep betting on it. Your net loss is $10 if you lose another $100 in the streak’s 12th week. If the streak continues, your net losses are $10.